Hydrology prediction is a complexnon-linear dynamic process and the station water-level often shows dynamic changing character owing to all kinds of factors.In the Huaihe Basin Wuhe station water-level will be influenced by the backwater influence of Hongze lake and shows the non-statinoary changing.In the paper based on the neural-network model of time series and the data characteristics of hydrology a non-stationary multi-station variable dynamic sequence prediction model is made by using artificial neural-network and practised in Wuhe station water-level prediction of Huaihe River.The calculation results indicates that the model is not only reasonable but also its predicting period is longer.It is valuable when being used in practices.
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薛联青,崔广柏,陈凯麒.非平稳时间序列的动态水位神经网络预报模型.湖泊科学,2002,14(1):19-24. XUE Lianqing, CUI Guangbai, CHEN Kaiqi. Dynamic Water-Level Neural-Network Forecast Model on Non-Stationary Time Series. Journal of Lake Sciences,2002,14(1):19-24. DOI:10.18307/2002.0103