太湖近20年生态系统演变特征与机制探讨
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1:中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所,太湖湖泊生态系统研究站,南京 211135 ;2:巢湖学院生物与环境工程学院,合肥 238024

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国家自然科学基金国际合作项目(42220104010)、国家自然科学基金联合项目(U2340209)和中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所自主部署项目(NIGLAS2022GS03)联合资助


Two decades changes of ecosystem structure in Lake Taihu: Characteristics and mechanisms
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1: Taihu Laboratory for Lake Ecosystem Research, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 211135 , P. R. China ;2: School of Biological and Environmental Engineering, Chaohu University, Hefei 238024 , P. R. China

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    摘要:

    太湖在过去20年经历了高强度的污染治理与生态修复,同时受到气候变暖、热浪、洪水和干旱等气候变化因素的叠加影响,湖泊生态系统组成与结构发生了显著变化。本文基于江苏太湖湖泊生态系统研究国家野外科学观测研究站(简称“太湖站”)2005-2025年水质、浮游植物及大型水生植物观测数据,2007-2025年大型底栖动物观测数据,以及2012-2025年后生浮游动物的定位观测资料,结合太湖站同步的水文与气象背景观测资料,分析近20年太湖生态系统结构在氮浓度下降、水温增高、干旱、洪水、禁捕等气候变化与人类活动影响下的变化特征与机制。结果发现,(1)近5年来太湖水质改善明显:水体总氮年均值从2006年的3.71 mg/L降至2025年的1.56 mg/L,2021-2025年总磷年均值(0.089 mg/L)较2005-2020年均值(0.120 mg/L)降低26%;太湖水质改善程度存在明显的空间差异,重污染的西北湖区水质改善明显,但之前沉水植物分布较广、水质相对良好的南部与东部湖区水质变化不大甚至有所下降。(2)太湖主要生物类群的时空变化巨大:2023年以来,蓝藻生物量明显下降,蓝藻水华的关键种类微囊藻(Microcystis spp. )的生物量和优势度均大幅下降,而丝状蓝藻中的长孢藻(Dolichospermum spp. )、假鱼腥藻(Pseudanabaena spp. )及硅藻门中的直链藻(Aulacoseira spp. )、小环藻(Cyclotella spp. )、菱形藻(Nitzschia spp. )优势度增加;后生浮游动物枝角类中的象鼻溞(Bosmina spp. )优势度大幅下降,而桡足类中的中华窄腹剑水蚤(Limnoithona sinensis)优势度显著提升;大型底栖动物的密度大幅下降,主要是耐污型的优势种霍夫水丝蚓(Limnodrilus hoffmeisteri)密度大幅减少,而相对喜清洁水体的河蚬(Corbicula fluminea)优势度、密度都明显增加。然而,太湖沉水植被状况依然较20年前退化明显,近年来在水质改善明显的背景下恢复并不显著,2025年与2014年相比,沉水植物分布面积大幅下降,传统沉水植物分布区龟山-漫山岛-西山-南太湖一线的竹叶眼子菜(Potamogeton wrightii)种群分布面积锐减,东太湖水域的沉水植物群落已基本被野菱(Trapa incisa)群落取代,形成覆盖度常高于95%的野菱单一优势种群连续分布区,南太湖荇菜(Nymphoides peltata)群落严重衰退,胥口湾水域植被覆盖度也在2025年显著下降。(3)从生态多样性角度看,除浮游植物外,太湖多数生物的多样性并未显著增高,空间异质性下降,沉水植被退化严重,太湖的生态系统结构仍处于十分脆弱的状态,存在蓝藻水华大规模暴发的潜在风险。总体而言,太湖治理可能已进入“水质改善-生态结构重组-系统韧性不足”的新阶段。流域营养盐入湖负荷削减虽然对太湖生态系统结构产生了重要的上行效应,但气候变暖、外源负荷变化、渔业禁捕以及洪水、干旱等极端气候事件也显著影响了太湖生物类群演替过程,并可能成为生态系统结构变化的重要触发因素。未来太湖治理的关注重点应当从“水质达标”向“生态系统健康恢复”转变,应加强对鱼类结构演变的生态效应监测与评估,在进一步严格控制外源氮、磷入湖负荷的同时,协同开展鱼类结构调整和沉水植物恢复,提高太湖生态系统健康水平。

    Abstract:

    Over the past two decades, Lake Taihu has undergone intensive remediation and restoration, compounded by climate change impacts such as warming and heatwaves, driving significant shifts in the composition and structure of its aquatic ecosystem, encompassing phytoplankton, zooplankton, benthic macroinvertebrates, and macrophytes. Leveraging long-term monitoring data from the Taihu Laboratory for Lake Ecosystem Research (TLLER), a National Scientific Observation and Research Station, including water quality, phytoplankton, and macrophyte data spanning 2005 to 2025, macroinvertebrate data from 2007 to 2025, zooplankton data from 2012 to 2025, alongside concurrent hydrological and meteorological observations, this study elucidates the characteristics and underlying mechanisms governing the structural changes in the Lake Taihu ecosystem over the past two decades under the combined influences of declining nitrogen concentrations, rising water temperatures, drought and flood events, fishing bans, and other anthropogenic and climatic drivers. The results demonstrate that: (1) In the past five years, water quality in Lake Taihu has improved markedly. The annual mean total nitrogen concentration decreased from 3.71 mg/L in 2006 to 1.56 mg/L in 2025. The annual mean total phosphorus concentration from 2021 to 2025 (0. 089 mg/L) was 26% lower than the mean from 2005 to 2020 (0.120 mg/L). Pronounced spatial disparities in water quality improvement were observed: heavily polluted northwestern areas exhibited substantial amelioration, whereas southern and eastern areas, historically characterized by better water quality and extensive submerged vegetation, displayed negligible improvement or even degradation. (2) Major biotic assemblages exhibited substantial spatiotemporal dynamics. Since 2023, cyanobacterial biomass has declined significantly, accompanied by a marked reduction in both biomass and dominance of Microcystis spp. —the primary bloom-forming cyanobacterium—while the dominance of filamentous cyanobacteria such as Dolichospermum spp. and Pseudanabaena spp. , as well as diatoms including Aulacoseira spp. , Cyclotella spp. , and Nitzschia spp. , has increased. Within the zooplankton community, the dominance of Bosmina spp. (Cladocera) has diminished considerably, whereas that of Limnoithona sinensis(Copepoda) has risen significantly. Macroinvertebrate density has declined sharply, primarily attributable to a substantial reduction in the dominant pollution-tolerant species Limnodrilus hoffmeisteri, while the dominance and density of the relatively clean-water species Corbicula fluminea have increased notably. Conversely, submerged vegetation remains severely degraded compared to 20 years ago, showing no significant recovery despite recent water quality improvements. Relative to 2014, the distribution area of submerged vegetation in 2025 contracted sharply. The population of Potamogeton wrightii within the traditional submerged vegetation zone along the transect from Guishan to Manshan Island, Xishan, and South Lake Taihu has undergone drastic shrinkage. In East Lake Taihu, submerged plant communities have been largely supplanted by Trapa incisa, forming a continuous monoculture frequently exceeding 95% coverage. The Nymphoides peltata community in South Lake Taihu has experienced severe decline, and vegetation coverage in Xukou Bay also decreased significantly in 2025. (3) From the perspective of ecological diversity, with the exception of phytoplankton, the diversity of most biotic groups has not increased significantly, spatial heterogeneity has diminished, and submerged vegetation remains critically degraded. Consequently, the ecosystem structure of Lake Taihu remains highly vulnerable, with a persistent risk of large-scale cyanobacterial blooms. This study suggests that the management of Lake Taihu may have entered a new phase characterized by “improved water quality—ecosystem restructuring—insufficient system resilience”. While reduced nutrient loading into the lake exerts significant top-down regulation on ecosystem structure, climate warming, declining external nutrient loading, fishing bans, and extreme climatic events such as floods and droughts have emerged as pivotal drivers of biotic shifts. Future management strategies for Lake Taihu should transition from “achieving water quality standards” to “restoring ecosystem health”. It is imperative to strengthen the monitoring and assessment of ecological effects stemming from fish community alterations. While maintaining stringent control over external nitrogen and phosphorus inputs, coordinated measures should be implemented to optimize fish community structure and restore submerged vegetation, thereby enhancing the overall health and resilience of the Lake Taihu ecosystem.

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朱广伟,康丽娟,国超旋,沈睿杰,蔡永久,黄蔚,罗菊花,张运林,秦伯强.太湖近20年生态系统演变特征与机制探讨.湖泊科学,2026,38(4):1331-1350. Zhu Guangwei, Kang Lijuan, Guo Chaoxuan, Shen Ruijie, Cai Yongjiu, Huang Wei, Luo Juhua, Zhang Yunlin, Qin Boqiang. Two decades changes of ecosystem structure in Lake Taihu: Characteristics and mechanisms. Journal of Lake Sciences,2026,38(4):1331-1350. DOI:10.18307/2026.0403

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  • 收稿日期:2026-01-07
  • 最后修改日期:2026-05-24
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-10
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