区域应对特大干旱水源储备分析——以南水北调中线工程受水区为例
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1.南京水利科学研究院 水灾害防御全国重点实验室;2.水利部水利规划设计总院;3.长江保护与绿色发展研究院

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(BK20230122)联合资助* 通信作者: Email: zzwang@nhri.cn ,王宗志1,3*,万文华1,王文琪1,马睿2,姜龙3,4


Analysis of regional water reserves in response to extreme drought -- taking the receiving area of the middle route of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project as an example
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State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering,Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute

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    摘要:

    明确水网区应对特大干旱水源储备现状是完善区域水网格局、提升区域抗旱能力的前提。针对当前水源储备概念不清与储备规模计算方法缺失的问题,本文在辨析水源储备相关概念基础上,提出了应对特大干旱水源储备的定义,并给出湖库水、河道水、地下水和外调水四类水源应对特大干旱水源储备规模计算方法。将该方法应用于南水北调中线受水区,结果表明:受水区应对特大干旱水源储备总规模达122.52亿m3,其中湖库水、河道水、地下水、外调水四类水源储备分别占总储备的10.86%、15.7%、56.31%和17.12%。受水区20座城市中仅7市应对特大干旱水源储备水源组成包括了上述4类水源,13个地市的地下水储备规模占比超过了50%,储备水源类型较单一;4座城市现状水源储备总体规模小、且储备类型单一,亟需进一步完善应对特大干旱水源储备体系。

    Abstract:

    To clarify the current situation of water resources reserved for exceptional drought in the water network area is the premise of improving the regional water network pattern and enhancing regional drought resistance. Aiming at the problems of unclear concept of water source reserve and lack of calculation method of reserve scale, this paper puts forward the definition of water source reserved for exceptional drought on the basis of analyzing existing concepts of water source reserve, and gives the calculation method of water source reserve scale for four types of water sources: lake and reservoir water, river water, groundwater and external water. The method was applied to the intake area of the middle route of the South-to-North Water Transfer project. The results showed that the total water reserved for exceptional drought of the intake area reached 12.252 billion m3, among which the water reserved by lake and reservoir, river, groundwater and transferred water accounted for 10.86%, 15.7%, 56.31% and 17.12% respectively. Among the 20 cities in the water receiving area, only 7 cities have the above 4 types of water sources in their water reserves to cope with severe drought, and 13 cities have groundwater reserves that account for more than 50%, and the type of water reserves is single. There are four cities with small reserve amount and single reserve type, so it is urgent to further improve the water resources reserve system for exceptional drought in the intake area of the middle route of the South-to-North Water Transfer project.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-07-14
  • 最后修改日期:2026-01-12
  • 录用日期:2026-01-16
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-29
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