中国东部典型浅水湖泊生态系统稳定性量化评估
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1.南京师范大学地理科学学院;2.中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所;3.华北电力大学水利与水电工程学院

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国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


Quantitative Assessment of Ecosystem Stability in Typical Shallow Lakes of Eastern China
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1.School of Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Normal University;2.Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences

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    摘要:

    湖泊生态系统稳定性是评估其健康状态的关键指标。针对现有评估方法存在的环境还原度不足与数据依赖性过强等问题,本研究基于Pararov等提出的生态系统稳定性评估框架基础上,结合湖泊生态特征,遴选代表性指标,构建基于结构与功能双维度的湖泊生态系统稳定性指数,旨在从结构和功能两个视角量化并比较浅水湖泊的稳定性差异。整合洪泽湖和骆马湖2016-2021年逐月及2022-2023年季度浮游植物、浮游动物生物量以及气象水质数据,结合太湖2016-2023年逐月监测数据,定量评估了我国东部三个典型湖泊的结构稳定性与功能稳定性。研究结果表明:(1)2020年以来,三个湖泊综合结构稳定性指数由0.567±0.02下降至0.437±0.04,而综合功能稳定性指数则维持稳定,表明湖泊生态系统功能稳定性整体优于结构稳定性;(2)三湖对比显示,太湖的生态系统稳定性显著高于洪泽湖和骆马湖;(3)相关性分析揭示,气象、水质及水文要素与洪泽湖、骆马湖结构及功能稳定性的关联特征高度一致,但与太湖的相关性呈现相反趋势。其中水质要素中的氮、磷指标与三湖泊结构和功能稳定性相关性最强。本研究的双维度稳定性指数为湖泊生态系统稳定性动态监测与评估提供了新视角与量化方法,有助于识别浅水湖泊结构和功能维度的差异特征,并为未来在湖泊健康评价和生态修复中引入稳定性维度提供参考。

    Abstract:

    Lake ecosystem stability is a critical indicator of ecological health. To address limitations in existing assessment methods—including inadequate environmental representativeness and excessive data dependency—this study developed a Lake Ecosystem Stability Index grounded in the ecosystem stability framework proposed by Pararov et al. By incorporating lake-specific ecological characteristics and selecting representative indicators, the index integrates both structural and functional dimensions to quantify and compare stability across shallow lakes. The research integrates monthly phytoplankton and zooplankton biomass data from 2016 to 2021, quarterly data from 2022 to 2023, and meteorological and water quality data from Lake Hongze and Lake Luoma, along with monthly monitoring data from Lake Taihu from 2016 to 2023, to quantitatively assess the structural and functional stability of these lakes. The findings reveal: (1) Since 2020, the comprehensive structural stability index decreased from 0.567 ± 0.02 to 0.437 ± 0.04, while the functional stability index has remained stable, indicating that the functional stability of lake ecosystems generally surpasses structural stability(2) Comparative analysis revealed significantly higher ecosystem stability in Lake Taihu than in Lake Hongze and Lake Luoma.(3) Correlation analysis demonstrates that meteorological, water quality, and hydrological factors exhibit highly consistent associations with the structural and functional stability of Lake Hongze and Lake Luoma, but divergent patterns in Lake Taihu. Notably, nitrogen and phosphorus indicators in water quality exhibit the strongest correlations with the structural and functional stability of all three lakes. The dual-dimensional stability index proposed in this study offers a new perspective and quantitative approach for dynamic monitoring and assessment of lake ecosystem stability. It facilitates the identification of differences between structural and functional dimensions, and provides valuable reference for incorporating stability metrics into future lake health assessments and ecological restoration strategies.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-08-08
  • 最后修改日期:2025-11-08
  • 录用日期:2025-11-11
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-01-21
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