基于多源卫星遥感反演的缺资料流域河流流量估算研究——以长江源区为例
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1.河海大学 水文水资源学院,河海大学 长江保护与绿色发展研究院 ,河海大学 水灾害防御全国重点实验室;2.长江水利委员会水文局;3.河海大学 水文水资源学院;4.长江水利委员会汉江流域治理保护中心;5.中国国际工程咨询有限公司;6.郑州大学 水利与交通学院;7.浙江水利水电学院;8.河海大学 水文水资源学院 ,河海大学 长江保护与绿色发展研究院河海大学 水灾害防御全国重点实验室

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长江流域全覆盖水监控系统建设长江源水文监测未控地区流量测验技术研究(HJZX-QFG-2024-KY-5);国家自然科学基金项目 (52479010,42501022);浙江省自然科学基金项目(LGEY25E090017)和水灾害防御全国重点实验室“一带一路”水与可持续发展科技基金面上项目(2023490811)


Estimation of River Discharge in Data-Scarce Basins Based on Multi-Source Satellite Remote Sensing Inversion: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Source Region
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1.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Yangtze Institute for Conservation and Development, Hohai University, State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering;2.Hydrological Bureau, Yangtze River Water Resources Commission;3.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University;4.China International Engineering Consulting Corporation;5.School of Water Resources and Transportation Engineering, Zhengzhou University;6.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University,Yangtze Institute for Conservation and Development, Hohai University, State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University

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    摘要:

    河流流量是流域水文过程关键变量之一,在防洪防涝、水资源规划管理等方面具有重要指示作用。由于自然环境和气候条件恶劣,位于青藏高原东缘的长江源区流量观测站点稀少,属于典型的缺资料地区。因此,开展该区域的流量估算,对于保障长江流域水安全及区域生态生态保护具有重要意义。本研究以长江源区直门达水文站为参考点,设置了站点上下游虚拟站(ZMD_1和ZMD_2),利用Sentinel-2、Jason-3与Sentinel-3A卫星遥感数据,采用分位数匹配新方法,将遥感反演的水位河宽数据进行融合,并基于河道概化断面对曼宁公式进行修正,开展了长江源区流量定量估算研究。结果表明:新方法在两虚拟站处的径流量估算精度较高,其纳什效率系数(NSE)均在0.74以上;径流估算的均方根误差(RMSE)分别为302.13 m3/s、316.46 m3/s,相对均方根误差(RRMSE)分别为30.0%、32.8%,ZMD_1虚拟站流量估算精度总体优于ZMD_2虚拟站。ZMD_2虚拟站的计算结果存在较大波动,主要原因可能是ZMD_2缓冲区存在河心滩,影响了虚拟站的流量反演精度。本文基于多源卫星遥感的长江源区河流流量估算研究成果,可为缺资料地区河流流量推算提供理论方法与技术参考。

    Abstract:

    River discharge serves as a critical variable in basin hydrological processes, playing a vital role in flood control, water resource planning, and management. Due to harsh natural environments and climatic conditions, discharge observation stations are scarce in the Yangtze River source region located on the eastern edge of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, making it a typical data-deficient area. Therefore, conducting discharge estimation in this region is of significant importance for ensuring water security in the Yangtze River basin and protecting regional ecosystems. This study establishes virtual stations upstream and downstream of the Zhimenda hydrological station in the Yangtze headwaters (ZMD_1 and ZMD_2) as reference points. Utilizing Sentinel-2 and Jason-3, and Sentinel-3A satellite remote sensing data. A novel quantile matching approach was employed to fuse remotely sensed water level and river width data. The Manning"s equation was modified based on generalized cross-section profiles to conduct quantitative discharge estimation for the Yangtze headwaters. Results indicate that the new method achieves high esti-mation accuracy at both virtual stations, with Nash"s efficiency coefficients (NSE) exceeding 0.74. The root mean square error (RMSE) of estimated discharges was 302.13 m3/s and 316.46 m3/s, respectively, with relative root mean square errors (RRMSE) of 30.0% and 32.8%. Overall, discharge estimation accuracy at the ZMD_1 virtual station outperformed that at ZMD_2. The ZMD_2 virtual station results exhibited significant fluctuations, primarily due to the presence of mid-channel bars within the ZMD_2 buffer zone, which compromised the accuracy of flow inversion at the virtual station. This study, based on multi-source satellite remote sensing for estimating river flows in the Yangtze River source region, provides theoretical methods and technical references for flow estimation in data-scarce areas.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-11
  • 最后修改日期:2026-02-02
  • 录用日期:2026-03-03
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-28
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