基于机器学习的水生植物去除营养盐及全氟和多氟烷基物质效能研究
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河海大学

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国家重点研发计划项目课题(2002YFC3204105)


Study on the Efficiency of Removing Nutrients and Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl substances from Aquatic Plants Based on Machine Learning
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Hohai University

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The National Key Technologies R&D Program of China

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    摘要:

    为解决传统实验方法在多因素复杂体系下进行优化筛选时存在实验量大,浪费时间、人力和物力的局限性。本研究以营养盐及全氟和多氟烷基物质(Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances,PFAS)污染水体为对象,集成已有文献记录,构建了包含环境因子、植物种植密度及污染物去除率的综合数据集,通过对比多目标随机森林(Multi-target Random Forest,MTRF)、多层感知机(Multi-layer Perceptron,MLP)、随机森林(Random Forest,RF)和极端梯度提升(Extreme Gradient Boosting,XGBoost)算法综合评估了各因素对水环境中PFAS去除率的影响,利用可解释机器学习SHAP(Shapley Additive Explanations)框架对模型进行深度解释,筛选最优水生植物并预测其最佳处理工况。结果表明:MTRF表现出良好的预测性能,其对营养盐和PFAS去除率的决定系数R2值普遍高于其他模型,能够准确预测不同工况下营养盐和PFAS的去除率。基于模型预测,苦草被筛选为净化营养盐及PFAS污染的最佳优势植物。通过工况优化预测,苦草去除营养盐的最佳种植密度为19株/m2,最佳修复时间为69天;去除PFAS的最佳种植密度为59株/m2,最佳修复时间为34天。本研究建立的机器学习模型不仅能够为复杂水质条件下的植物修复效率提供精准预测,也为水体复合污染的低成本、系统性治理提供了理论依据与工程决策支持。

    Abstract:

    The global attention to the pollution of nutrients and per-and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) is increasing, which requires the development of more efficient and low-cost remediation strategies. This study focuses on the remediation of nitrogen, phosphorus, and various PFAS components by aquatic plants, representing a sustainable alternative to traditional physical and chemical methods. In order to overcome the limitations of traditional experimental methods, we constructed a comprehensive dataset by systematically searching for literature in databases such as CNKI, Science Direct, and Web of Science from 2015 to 2025. The final database contains 128 independent experimental records, covering pollutant remediation data under different experimental conditions, ensuring the universality of research conclusions. The input features cover 14 dimensions, including aquatic plant types (submerged, emergent, and floating), planting density, environmental temperature, and initial concentrations of nitrogen, phosphorus, and eight specific PFAS components (such as PFOS, PFOA, PFBA). In order to mitigate inherent systematic biases in multi-source literature data, this study implemented strict quality control protocols. For missing values of secondary environmental parameters, RF-based imputation is used for processing, which can better preserve the nonlinear structure of the data than simple mean replacement. All numerical features are standardized using StandardScaler to eliminate dimensional deviations. In addition, data heterogeneity was quantitatively evaluated using one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) and effect measures (η2). The results indicate that planting density and temperature are the main sources of statistical heterogeneity, explaining 41.67% and 41.47% of the total variation, respectively (P<0.001). We comprehensively evaluated the impact of various factors on the removal rate of PFAS using Multi-objective Random Forest (MTRF), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Random Forest (RF), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithms.?Use R2 and Root Mean Square Err (RMSE) as evaluation metrics for different models.The MTRF model achieved average R2 values of 0.68 and 0.72 in nitrogen removal and PFNA prediction, respectively, demonstrating substantial predictive ability significantly better than the MLP model with negative R2 values and inability to capture complex patterns. The in-depth mechanism explanation using the SHAP framework reveals that initial phosphorus concentration has a positive effect on nitrogen absorption, and phosphorus can promote nitrogen absorption by improving plant metabolic capacity. For PFAS, a threshold suppression effect was observed; Due to oxidative stress and enzyme activity inhibition caused by reactive oxygen species (ROS), high initial concentrations and extreme temperatures are negatively correlated with removal efficiency. Through virtual screening, Vallisneria natans was identified as the dominant species, possibly due to its strong root to stem transport ability and high bioaccumulation factor for PFAS. By optimizing the operating conditions, the optimal planting density for removing nutrients from Vallisneria natans is 19 plants/m2, and the optimal restoration time is 69 days; The optimal planting density for removing PFAS is 59 plants/m2, and the optimal restoration time is 34 days. The machine learning model established in this study not only provides accurate predictions for plant remediation efficiency under complex water quality conditions, but also provides theoretical basis and engineering decision support for low-cost and systematic treatment of water composite pollution.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-12-12
  • 最后修改日期:2026-02-09
  • 录用日期:2026-02-10
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-10
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