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基于MIKE21 ECOLab的调水型水库换水周期及富营养化模拟
王磊
深圳市环境科学研究院
摘要:
基于MIKE21 ECOLab模块构建调水型水库水动力与富营养化二维模型,探究提升模型率定效率的方法,分析外调水主导下水库换水周期、氮磷营养盐以及叶绿素a间的时空变化特征。结果表明:ECOLab模块中9个状态变量的率定顺序为:BOD>PO43-=NH4+>NO2->NO3->Chl-a=FC=TC>DO,涉及到的41个参数中需要重点率定的有11个;用2022年实测数据对模型进行了验证,结果表明模型可以准确反应该水库的水动力及水质的变化情况;以此为基础,在年均调水量为4.9亿方条件下,模拟得到水库换水平均周期为9 d,换水周期空间上具有较高的异质性,主流方向上换水周期较短,以主流方向为分界线,换水周期向两侧递增,增幅与离岸距离呈反比,且在库湾处明显加大,最长超过200 d;以调水水质为近5年的月度均值为边界条件,模拟得到水库无机氮、无机磷及叶绿素a年均值分为0.75 mg/L、1.93 ug/L以及20.93ug/L;时间上,受东江流域面源输入季节性变化的影响,丰水期氮、磷及叶绿素a浓度要高于枯水期;空间上,换水周期越小的区域,氮、磷及叶绿素a与换水周期相关性越强,氮、磷为负相关,而叶绿素a为正相关。本研究成果可为降低水库富营养化模型构建成本提供参考,同时为调水水库富营养化防治提供科学依据。
关键词:  MIKE21 ECOLab  换水周期  富营养化  调水型水库
DOI:
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基金项目:深圳市科技研发资金
Simulation of residence time and eutrophication in Pumped-Storage Reservoir based on MIKE21 ECOLab
WangLei
Abstract:
The two-dimensional hydrodynamic and eutrophication model of a Pumped-Storage Reservoir was developed based on MIKE21 ECOLab, to investigate the methods of improving calibration efficiency, and to analyze the spatiotemporal pattern of residence time, nitrogen, phosphorus, and chlorophyll-a in the pumped-storage reservoir. The results indicate that the calibration sequence for 9 state variables in the ECOLab module is: BOD>PO43-=NH4+>NO2->NO3->Chl-a=FC=TC>DO,and 11 of the 41 parameters are primary calibration parameters. The model satisfactorily represented the hydrodynamic and water quality processes of the reservoir, by validating with actual measurement data from 2022. Using this model, the simulated average residence time of water in the reservoir is 9 days, given an annual water diversion volume of 490 million cubic meters. The residence time along the mainstream direction is relatively shorter, but it increases towards both sides, inversely proportional to the distance from the shore, indicating a high spatial variability. In reservoir bays, the residence time notably increases, reaching a peak of over 200 days. Based on observed water quality data of pumping water over the past five years, the simulation results indicate that the annual average concentrations of inorganic nitrogen, inorganic phosphorus, and chlorophyll-a are 0.75 mg/L, 1.93 μg/L, and 20.93 μg/L, respectively. Influenced by seasonal variations in non-point source pollution inputs from the Dongjiang River basin, the concentrations of nitrogen, phosphorus, and chlorophyll-a are higher during the wet season compared to the dry season. In regions with shorter residence times, nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations tend to increase, while chlorophyll-a concentrations tend to decrease. The outcomes of this study provide important information for model construction and eutrophication control in pumped-storage reservoirs.
Key words:  MIKE21 ECOLab  Residence time  Eutrophication  Pumped-storage reservoir
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